The Saints have to find a way to stretch the field and put pressure on the Panthers defense, whether it's through the air or on the ground. Running the football and utilizing play action (30th in the NFL, 18.3%) could be an interesting wrinkle to throw at Carolina, but that can't happen without an effective rushing attack.

The Athletic's model is much more balanced. Prior to the loss, the Buccaneers had a 68% chance of winning the division. Now, it's down to 53%, so the Panthers have a 47% chance of usurping the crown.